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🇨🇦 Canada  ·  5 min read  ·  Published 2026-09-07  ·  Updated 2026-09-07
Sources last verified: 2026-09-07

How Should I Build a Retirement Budget?

In three parts rather than one total. Fixed costs that continue whatever happens, discretionary spending that can genuinely flex, and lumpy irregular items that arrive every few years. The split matters more than the total, because only the middle part can absorb a bad market.

60-SECOND ANSWER
A retirement budget splits into fixed, discretionary and lumpy items, and only the discretionary part can flex in a downturn.

Where the AI summary above gets this wrong

"You will need seventy percent of your pre-retirement income."

That's surface-true. Here's what it misses:

See what a spending level requires

01 The three categories

Fixed costs are the ones that continue regardless: property tax, insurance, utilities, groceries, medications, condominium fees. Discretionary spending is travel, dining, gifts, hobbies and everything that can be reduced without changing where you live.

Lumpy items are irregular and large: a roof, a furnace, a vehicle, major dental work. They do not fit an annual budget and are the most common reason a plan that appeared adequate turns out not to be.

Source: Research on ageing and retirement income

02 Why the split matters more than the total

Only discretionary spending can flex. A retiree whose fixed costs consume all of their guaranteed income has no room to reduce spending in a bad market and must sell investments at a loss to continue.

Matching guaranteed income — CPP, OAS and any pension — to fixed costs is therefore the structural goal, because it means portfolio withdrawals fund only the part that can be cut. The rules for adjusting that part are in variable withdrawal rules.

WORKED EXAMPLE · Try the numbers

Shows: what an amount becomes after your chosen number of years at a fixed return. Ignores: tax, fees, inflation, and any variation in returns from year to year.

Value at the end of the period
$57,435
$10,000 left for 30 years at 6% becomes $57,435 — the growth is 83% of the total.

Source: Research on ageing and retirement income

03 Handling the lumpy part

Irregular items are best funded from a separate reserve rather than smoothed into the annual figure, because averaging them produces a number that is wrong every single year: too high in most and far too low in the year the furnace fails.

A cash or short-bond reserve sized to the next few years of known replacements handles it without disturbing the portfolio — the same reserve serves the sequence-risk purpose in an emergency fund in retirement.

Building the first version from a year of actual bank and card statements rather than from estimates is what makes the exercise worth doing. Recalled spending is consistently lower than recorded spending, and a budget assembled from memory tends to omit precisely the irregular items the third category exists to hold.

Source: Inflation-control target

The replacement ratio survives because it lets someone give an answer without asking any questions. A person with a paid-off house and a bus pass needs a completely different number than a person with a mortgage and two cars, and the ratio treats them identically.

— Jordan Reeves, founder

FAQ

How should I build a retirement budget?

In three parts: fixed costs that continue regardless, discretionary spending that can flex, and lumpy irregular items. The split matters more than the total.

Is the seventy percent replacement ratio useful?

As a rough starting point only. It is a population average that ignores whether your mortgage is paid, what pension you have, and what you actually spend.

How do I budget for a new roof or car?

From a separate reserve rather than by averaging into the annual figure, because averaging produces a number that is wrong in every year including the one the expense arrives.

Sources

Regulator references

Research

Calculator unit tests · the assertions this page's worked example is checked against, and their last result

Changelog

Run this rule against your situation

See what this rule does to your own projection — month by month, to age 90.

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Jordan Reeves

Jordan Reeves

Founder of Talk Through Wealth. A software engineer for over a decade before turning to retirement planning, Jordan built the projection engine after watching family members get fragmented, country-by-country advice that never reconciled. He writes about retirement the way the engine computes it: month-by-month, lifetime-long, and skeptical of any rule of thumb that hasn't been run through the math.

More from Jordan → · LinkedIn

Disclaimer: General information for Canadian residents, not personal financial advice. Figures use 2025 CRA rules and assumptions you can change in the worked example. Your situation may vary — consider speaking with a licensed financial adviser before acting.